Last year, everyone declared that the torch had been passed as the Magic dismantled the Celtics and the C's mini-run was now done. Seemingly forgotten during the playoffs of last year, was the fact that KG was out. The critics still say, "he's old" but using that as a crutch only denies the man's ability to alter a game both offensively and more importantly, defensively. To underestimate KG's defensive ability is egregious and he is ready to make a statement this year - as if the series vs. the Cavs was not enough.
Can the Magic win? Sure but I wouldn't bet on it. Can the Celtics win? Sure buy I wouldn't bet on that either. This is going to be a tight series, possibly even pushing 7 games. Ironically, the Cavs got Shaq for the same reason I thought the Celtics should have pursued, need someone to handle Dwight Howard in the battle of Steel vs. Superman.
Magic - they're well rested and ready to roll. All of the natural dents and dings have had some extra time to heal and the team is poised for their next opponent. There were really two factors that led to the Magic advancing last year - the C's had nobody to stop D. Howard and conversely could not stop M. Pietrus. Lewis hit some big shots last year and he's bound to do his usual damage from beyond the arc, minimizing that is the key.
The Magic spent their offseason re-tooling, bringing in Vince Carter to replace Courtney Lee and that works in the favor of Boston. Carter is not the high-octane offensive machine he's been relied upon to be throughout his career and plays no defense - read, Ray Allen and/or Paul Pierce will exploit that and force Pietrus to play more minutes. Pietrus can score so there's not much of a loss there and he fits into the overall offensive scheme better since he can play the role player (3rd-4th option) better than VC. A healthy Jameer Nelson gives the Magic a real, solid PG that can distribute and play defense.
Celtics - minimizing Howard is key here. The weapon to do this is not in the form of KG, Perkins, or Glen Davis but Rasheed Wallace. Nope, 'Sheed is not going to stop Howard but he will be out there to be inside the young man's head. His ferocity will translate to some stupid fouls by Dwight and could keep Howard off kilter. It'll be interesting to see how that plays out early since Howard is averaging nearly 5 fouls per game thus far in the playoffs.
Back to KG though, he will guard Superman in a combo effort with Perkins and/or Davis. He's as tall, as long, and as quick as any forward. Soon to be 34, Garnett has been around the block a few times and is ready for this collision. He needs another title to seal his legacy and will be leaving it all out there to win another ring. If needed, Garnett can back away from Howard and play the wing, keeping Lewis in check since he has a distinct height advantage on the C's perimeter players (the Allens can't work their magic, pardon the pun, here like they did on King James.) Collectively, the trio of Allen, Allen, and Pierce will put a stranglehold on the trio of Carter, Pietrus, and Barnes.
Rondo vs. Nelson will be an interesting match-up considering Nelson's a better defender than Rondo's seen to date in the playoffs. Nelson is broad shouldered and stronger than many PGs in the league so this will be the matchup to watch. Edge is Rondo because of quickness and ball-wizardry because when you're as good as Rondo w/the ball, it's beyond ball-handling.
In the end, my money's on the C's to return to the Finals, taking the Magic out in 6.